Complete your registration today for a chance to win £50 John Lewis vouchers in our weekly draw Enter now
Fund Profile

Disclaimer

Disclosure – Non-Independent Marketing Communication

This is a non-independent marketing communication commissioned by Greencoat UK Wind. The report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on the dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

Overview
A new version of this profile is available. View Latest
Overview

Greencoat UK Wind (UKW) provides a pure investment exposure to UK wind farms, with the twin aims of delivering a high, RPI-linked income return for shareholders whilst maintaining capital value in real terms.

These aims have been fully met so far. As we discuss in the Dividend section, the dividend forecast for next year is 7.1p, representing a compound annual growth of 18.3% since listing. NAV progression has also remained ahead of inflation, with growth of 22.1% against RPI over the same period of 17.4%. In share-price terms, shareholders have enjoyed a total return of 115.1% since launch to 31 December 2019.

During 2019, the trust’s earnings were below budget thanks to wholesale power prices remaining below average last year and thanks also to lower power generation from the wind-farm portfolio. Even so, UKW’s dividend was well covered at 1.4x. The manager’s long-term expectation is 1.7x.

UKW continues to grow, and now has gross assets of £2.44bn invested in 35 wind farms. Despite a competitive market, the manager has deployed around £800m of capital (invested and committed) over 2019, and is now becoming ‘utility scale’. UKW now provides around 1% of UK electricity generated.

As we note in the Discount section, the publication of a bearish note on long-term electricity prices by Bloomberg New Energy Finance has caused a healthy reduction in the premiums across the sector, not to mention the recent market falls. UKW trades at a premium to the peer-group average, perhaps because of the higher investment returns so far delivered, the higher discount rate, and also because of its well-covered dividend.

Analyst's View

UKW should continue to appeal to all sorts of investors. We believe that, having delivered on all of its promises, UKW offers valuable income and diversification properties to investors. In a classic tortoise-and-hare manner, UKW has outperformed the UK stock market since listing, generating returns in a very consistent manner.

As well as providing a very high dividend (prospective yield of 5.0%), dividend growth has matched RPI, and the capital value of the NAV has risen ahead of RPI. The trust employs a modest amount of gearing to enable this, but the resilience of the model has been shown last year when the dividend was 1.4x covered, despite lower power prices and less wind than average.

From an ESG perspective, UKW’s attractions are abundantly clear, in that UKW has a strong part to play in helping the UK shift to a lower-carbon economy. The trust’s continued growth has brought benefits to shareholders, not least in the OCF reducing significantly since listing. As we discuss in the Charges section, this is forecast to be 1.04% in 2020.

Worries about long-term power prices and wider equity-market movements have meant the whole sector has de-rated. In our view this is a welcome ‘release of steam’. It is always worth exercising caution if considering investing at a material premium to NAV. However, on a relative basis, recent market falls potentially present investors with an opportunity to add to a strongly performing and uncorrelated investment trust.

bull bear
High dividend yield, well covered by cash High premium to NAV
Continued commitment to RPI-linked dividend growth Gearing always exacerbates underlying asset valuation movements
Uncorrelated assets Valuations based on long-term assumptions which may (or may not) prove optimistic


Continue to Portfolio
2024 Kepler Alternative Income Rated Fund

This trust has been awarded a rating by Kepler Trust Intelligence for alternative income... Find out more

Fund History

01 May 2024 Flash Update: Greencoat UK Wind
UKW’s first quarter update shows the trust is well-placed for continued growth…
28 Mar 2024 Healthcare, UK valuations, and renewables
We take a look back at the final week of our ISA event…
20 Mar 2024 How to grow old gracefully (and preferably rich)...
Ahead of the final week of our event, focused on retirement planning, we consider some of the complexities of portfolio construction…
20 Mar 2024 Fund Analysis
Chunky dividend cover is the key to UKW’s resilient proposition…
22 Feb 2024 Investing in renewable energy infrastructure with investment trusts
Closed-ended are a simple way to access the attractive income and defensive potential of renewables infrastructure…
27 Mar 2024 Greencoat UK Wind
Stephen Lilley
Rewatch this webinar as part of our month-long online series 'Themes for your ISA in 2024' hosted by the team at Kepler Trust Intelligence throughout March...
Watch Recording
09 Feb 2024 Flash update: Greencoat UK Wind
UKW’s total return strategy continued to bear fruit in 2023…
23 Jan 2024 Staying the course
UKW may have a new co-manager in 2024 but the trust’s attractive qualities remain the same…
17 Jan 2024 Top of the Pops
We reveal the winners of our investment trust ratings for 2024…
10 Jan 2024 Definitely maybe
Fund flows and discounts may shed some light on a once-in-a-generation opportunity…
29 Nov 2023 We need to talk about discounts
Viewing investment trust discounts as a problem ignores the crucial role they play in keeping the sector on an even keel...
14 Nov 2023 Paid to wait
UKW’s discount may tighten if it continues to deliver strong total returns…
31 Oct 2023 Flash update: Greencoat UK Wind
UKW’s board appears bullish, with an inflation beating dividend and £100m buyback announced…
27 Oct 2023 What else?
Some trusts still offer attractive return potential, without the high valuations the US offers...
15 Sep 2023 Pizza Tiger
You don’t need to reinvent the wheel to deliver good returns on your investment...
08 Sep 2023 Plotting a soft landing
Alternatives have taken a beating over the past two years. We may not be through the shoals yet but some trusts offer both upside potential and downside protection…
08 Sep 2023 Heads you win, tails you wind
UKW offers strong upside potential, regardless of what the economic outlook is…
14 Aug 2023 Fund Analysis
Increased clarity on underlying assumptions highlights UKW’s resilient proposition…
09 Aug 2023 Should I stay, or should I go?
Re-appraising the invitation to the bond party…
27 Jul 2023 Results analysis: Greencoat UK Wind
UKW’s resilient NAV and increased discount rate suggest strong prospective returns…
26 Apr 2023 Hope springs eternal
Far-fetched as it might seem, we imagine some scenarios where a UK government might actually do something useful – and the investment trusts that could benefit…
22 Mar 2023 Good vibrations
We identify some sectors with structural discounts we think could close over time…
30 Mar 2023 Greencoat UK Wind - A unique, sustainable route to income
Stephen Lilley
Rewatch this webinar from our month-long online series 'A feast of ideas for your ISA' hosted by the team at Kepler Trust Intelligence throughout March...
Watch Recording
09 Feb 2023 Here comes the sun
Our analysis suggests renewable energy should be at the core of a well balanced portfolio...
07 Feb 2023 Fund Analysis
UKW’s strong performance isn’t necessarily reflected in the share price…
11 Jan 2023 Solving the Rubik’s Cube
We reveal the winners of our investment trust ratings for 2023…
21 Dec 2022 Reasons to be cheerful
We find reasons to be cheery this Christmas in the long-term trends which are going to transform society and generate returns…
21 Sep 2022 Jolly green giant
There could be a solution to economic troubles on the horizon, and one where the UK is a world leader...
11 May 2022 Catch a tiger by the tail
As inflation bites harder than it has for decades, we consider the best ways for investors to hang on to their capital...
29 Apr 2022 Flash update: Greencoat UK Wind
Reporting performance for the first quarter of 2022, UKW has announced a NAV which represents a 13.2% total return for the 3 months to 31/03/2022...
22 Mar 2022 Fund Analysis
UKW is in a strong position to capture the benefit of current high energy prices…
09 Mar 2022 Private markets: A closer look at infrastructure and renewables
We examine the £27bn listed Infrastructure and Renewable Energy Infrastructure sectors…
01 Dec 2021 How to protect your portfolio from inflation
We highlight trusts which could appeal in an environment where 'transient' inflation is here to stay...
03 Nov 2021 Don't fear the reaper
With market direction hard to call, we consider the case for taking a long-term view in the investment trust sector…
10 Jun 2021 Green is good!
2021 will see billions dedicated to sustainable initiatives, which brings with it a host of possible investment opportunities...
02 Jun 2021 Fund Analysis
UKW’s size and robust model means we think it deserves to trade at a premium to peers…
12 May 2021 Riders on the storm
We look at the yields in the alternatives space and how they have been affected by the pandemic…
09 Mar 2021 Fund Analysis
2020 has proved UKW’s resilience, which continues to target an inflation linked dividend…
24 Feb 2021 Dire Straits or Money for Nothing?
As discounts reach historically narrow levels across the board – our analysts debate whether a premium is a price worth paying…
17 Feb 2021 Jungle Fever
Soaring interest in ESG has exciting implications, but risks pushing some stocks to distinctly unsustainable valuations...
20 Jan 2021 Kepler's top-rated investment trusts for 2021
We update our annual quantitative ratings for investment trusts…
26 Nov 2020 Fund Analysis
2020 has proved UKW’s resilience, but is now better value in terms of premium...
15 Oct 2020 Nice guys finish first
ESG has moved from hippy pipe-dream to corporate mainstream, but what is it really and where do we see opportunities?
09 Sep 2020 Time to switch horses?
We look at what returns are likely from equity markets in the coming decade and identify which alternatives could offer similar or greater returns for lower levels of risk…
09 Jul 2020 The next big thing: two mega-trends that everyone should own
Tech seems to beat every other sector hands down – in both up and down markets – but nothing lasts forever. Where else should investors be looking for secular growth themes?
23 Apr 2020 Sucker punch
Two of our analysts debate the merits of equity income and alternative income trusts at this point in time...
12 Mar 2020 The importance of buying earners*
Our analysis shows that the impact of dividend contributions on long term returns is anything but trivial...
04 Mar 2020 Fund Analysis
Recent de-rating, but prospects appear undimmed…
16 Oct 2019 Life on Mars: could inflation take us back to the '70s?
We discuss two potential catalysts for inflation - and the assets that could offer a hedge against it...
09 Oct 2019 Bond proxy?
As a replacement or complement for longer duration bonds, listed alternative income funds look an interesting, well… alternative..
19 Sep 2019 Rebels no more...
Climate change and sustainability is now mainstream - so we are adding ESG analysis into all of our fund research…
19 Sep 2019 Fund Analysis
UKW invests in operating wind farms, aiming to provide an RPI-linked dividend and preserve the real value of the NAV…
19 Mar 2019 Electric Dreams: The future of energy
At our first public event, three fund managers gave their insights on the future of energy and the investment opportunities in this space...
06 Mar 2019 Stairway to heaven
Our research shows that reinvesting the income generated by alternative assets could add a significant boost to long-term portfolio performance…
28 Feb 2019 Fund Analysis
Greencoat UK Wind invests in operating wind farms, aiming to provide an RPI-linked dividend and preserve the real value of the NAV...
24 Dec 2018 Why did the chicken cross the road?
Because he was so bored of reading newspapers devoted entirely to Brexit he was hoping he’d be hit by a truck.
15 Aug 2018 The income edge
Last year saw investment trusts soar in popularity among both retail investors and wealth managers. We examine why this has happened, as well as the structural advantages of investment trusts for income-hungry investors...
19 Jul 2018 A new dawn
As the sun sets on fossil fuels, we examine the opportunities for investors in the burgeoning listed renewable infrastructure sector...
04 Apr 2018 Electric dreams
We examine the growing shift toward electrical power across a broad range of industries, and the implications for investment trusts with exposure to them...
04 Apr 2018 Fund Analysis
Aims to provide investors with an annual dividend that increases in line with RPI inflation while preserving the real value of the NAV
View all

Welcome to Kepler Trust Intelligence

Please enter a valid email address
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a valid password
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a valid email address
{{item.msg}}
Please check your email. If an account exists you'll be sent instructions on how to reset your password.
To ensure that we are able to provide content which is appropriate for you, please tell us a little about yourself.
Please choose an option
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a company name
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a location name
{{item.msg}}
Please choose an option
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a platform
{{item.msg}}
Please choose an option
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a trust
{{item.msg}}
?
The information contained herein is not for distribution and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy any securities in the United States to or for the benefit of any United States person (being residents of the United States or partnerships or corporations organised under the laws thereof). The investment funds referred to herein have not been registered in the United States under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and units or shares of such funds are not registered in the United States under the Securities Act of 1933.
Please confirm
{{item.msg}}
Please select an option
{{item.msg}}
See benefits
A free Kepler Trust Intelligence account allows you to access premium content including the ‘Kepler View’ – our verdict on the trusts we cover – and historical research so you can see how our view has changed over time. An account also unlocks useful facilities like the ‘follow’ button which lets you keep track of the trusts you’re interested in and as a logged in user you can also download PDFs of our research, and choose the layout of the page you’re reading to suit your preference. We will not share your details unless you give us permission to do so, and we won’t bombard you with emails – we only send one a week.
Please select an option
{{item.msg}}
Please enter your first name
{{item.msg}}
Please enter your last name
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a valid email address
An account already exists with this email - have you forgotten your password?
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a valid password
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a valid password
{{item.msg}}
How will this information be used? Your answers help us to tailor our content to relevant investment trusts, and to ensure that the asset allocation and portfolio strategy research we produce is appropriate to our userbase.
Our Website uses Cookies Cookies are small text files held on your computer. They allow us to give you the best browsing experience possible and mean we can understand how you use our site. Some cookies have already been set. You can delete and block cookies, but parts of our site won’t work without them. By using our website you accept our use of cookies. For further information please refer to the Kepler Privacy Notice.
Need help?

One more thing...

Did you know, you can 'follow' individual trusts on Kepler Trust Intelligence? Use the functions below to set up alerts and we'll send you research and updates on your chosen trusts.

Suggested trusts to follow

Browse all funds
Need help?
Current Site Kepler Trust Intelligence is produced by the investment companies team at Kepler Partners and is the UK’s premier source of detailed qualitative research on investment trusts. Absolute Hedge is a market leading UCITS research database providing proprietary research on funds, themes and strategies in the UCITS space. Kepler Liquid Strategies is a Dublin domiciled UCITS fund platform featuring a number of best-of-breed fund managers. Kepler Partners is a corporate advisory and asset raising boutique specialising in the regulated funds market in Europe and investment trusts in the UK.