Fund Profile

Disclaimer

Disclosure – Non-Independent Marketing Communication

This is a non-independent marketing communication commissioned by Ruffer Investment Company. The report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on the dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

Overview
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Overview

Ruffer Investment Company (RICA) is designed to achieve net annual total returns of at least twice the Bank of England base rate. The trust invests internationally across a range of asset classes, seeking to hold both growth and protective strategies in an appropriate balance with the aim of generating consistent positive returns and avoiding losses over rolling 12-month periods.

As we discuss under Portfolio, RICA owns pools of assets designed to provide different return profiles in various environments. The managers, Hamish Baillie and Duncan MacInnes, have long argued that structural problems in developed economies – primarily too much debt and too little growth – have compelled governments and central banks to ever more extreme measures to try to inject inflation and nominal growth into the system. The RICA portfolio is positioned to benefit from a return of inflation and higher nominal growth which will surprise markets. Yet the managers also retain defensive positions designed to offer asymmetric protection against deflationary economic shocks.

RICA is managed with an aversion to absolute losses, and proved successful at protecting capital and generating gains in the challenging conditions of Q1 2020, as we discuss under Performance. Subsequently, ‘risk on’ assets have delivered positive contributions whilst protective strategies detracted, in line with the balanced approach the managers seek to ensure is present. The notable exception is US TIPS, which have made money since as inflation expectations have recovered and the world has moved away from the deflationary abyss.

RICA’s Discount remains relatively wide compared to the trust’s history, but seems to have consistently attracted buyers when around current levels (c. 5.2% as at 11/11/2020).

Analyst's View

Repeated attempts by central banks and governments across the world to smooth economic and market conditions have ironically created conditions which seem likely to structurally increase periods of sharp volatility. Coming after a c. 40-year epoch which has been extremely supportive of a simple 60/40 equity / bonds portfolio split, there seems to be the potential for disruption to long held market assumptions. In this respect, we regard the focus on asymmetry which is present across the multiple strategies in RICA as attractive, with results in 2020 showing how this can benefit returns.

Structurally, then, RICA continues to offer attractions. We have on several occasions highlighted the benefits of volatility hedging, and believe RICA serves a purpose in this regard. And despite recent rotational activity there does seem to be a pervasive complacency within equity markets about the perceived ‘winners’ of COVID-19 continuing to dominate and take market share. We would not regard such a situation as fundamentally societally or economically sustainable and certainly think that if there is to be any sustainable equity market upside, then there is relative upside in areas the managers have identified (such as cheaply valued, high-quality cyclicals). In such a scenario RICA may well lag a 100% equity reflationary play, but over the long term we believe it continues to offer true portfolio diversification benefits.

Bull bear
Long track record of making money in up and down markets
Will likely lag ‘vanilla’ equity reflationary plays in a macro upswing
Should offer substantial and convex upside in an inflationary upswing
Continuation of US and technology dominance would be a threat to returns
Discount is wide relative to trust’s own history
Dividend yield likely to remain low
Continue to Portfolio

Fund History

11 May 2022 Catch a tiger by the tail
As inflation bites harder than it has for decades, we consider the best ways for investors to hang on to their capital...
26 Jan 2022 Fight or flight...
Two of our analysts debate the impact that war in Ukraine could have on investors' portfolios...
30 Dec 2021 Great expectations
As the last of the mince pies wilts in the fridge, topped with a generous helping of stilton, the Kepler Trust Intelligence team stick a finger in the air and point toward their top picks for the year ahead…
22 Dec 2021 No humbug
Our analysts look back at a year of predictions, theories and ideas, and highlight those they think could matter most…
20 Dec 2021 Fund Analysis
RICA’s strong performance during the pandemic and in the market recovery has highlighted its credentials as an all-weather strategy…
01 Sep 2021 Winter is coming
Summer was a welcome opportunity for exhausted investors to turn their backs on the legion threats they face, but they haven't gone away and the days grow short - we examine four in detail...
25 Aug 2021 Is the UK’s debt a ticking time bomb?
Our analyst argues Rishi is right to worry about government debt and borrowing…
21 Jul 2021 Every which way but loose
We break down the AIC Flexible sector into more useful segments…
30 Jun 2021 Inflation – a real threat or hot air?
Two of our analysts ask whether recent high inflation numbers indicate something long-lasting and troubling is happening…
13 May 2021 Fund Analysis
RICA is an all-weather proposition, aiming to deliver over a range of market and economic outcomes…
05 May 2021 Vive la revolution
For thirty years quality has had a structural tailwind; but revolt is in the air and value is on the barricades…
10 Mar 2021 Spring Conference '21
Audio and presentations from 21 of the UK’s leading investment trust managers…
04 Mar 2021 Slides and Audio: Ruffer Investment Company
Download the presentation and listen to the audio from our 'Ideas for your ISA' Spring Conference on 04 March...
06 Jan 2021 This time next year Rodney...
We review the performance of the team’s ‘top picks’ for 2020 – including some proper plonkers – and place our bets for the year ahead…
02 Dec 2020 Fund Analysis
RICA is an all-weather proposition, aiming to deliver over range of market and economic outcomes...
15 Jul 2020 Why stagflation is likely and how to protect your portfolio from it
Our analysis suggests a combination of cost-push inflation and economic hardship could lead to a short, but unpleasant, period of stagflation...
01 Jul 2020 Oh the humanity...
We consider two strategies to cope with markets which, boosted by massive government support, may be witnessing the start of a ‘melt-up’ which may be followed swiftly by a melt-down...
05 Jun 2020 Deep impact
Audio and presentations from our conference this week, where fifteen of the world's best fund managers described a profoundly altered investment landscape...
13 May 2020 Braving the new world
Join 15 of the UK's best known fund managers at the Kepler Trust Intelligence Virtual Summit to find out how they see the world after the pandemic...
29 Apr 2020 On solid ground
Our analysis of discounts highlights trusts which are likely to offer significantly less discount downside from the current level…
16 Apr 2020 Fund Analysis
RICA uses a range of asset classes to generate absolute returns for investors with an approach emphasising loss-aversion...
08 Apr 2020 Children of the Revolution
The outperformance of technology hints at an exciting possible future for the market when the virus is beaten…
30 Jan 2020 Is it time to run away?
With a sense of complacency in the air, our analysts debate the best ways to shore up your portfolio's defenses...
30 Oct 2019 All that glitters? The case for and against gold
Two of our analysts go head-to-head, debating whether gold is the ultimate safe haven asset...
16 Oct 2019 Life on Mars: could inflation take us back to the '70s?
We discuss two potential catalysts for inflation - and the assets that could offer a hedge against it...
16 Oct 2019 Fund Analysis
RICA uses a range of asset classes to generate absolute returns for investors with a focus on loss-aversion...
25 Sep 2019 One-stop shop: how multi-asset trusts offer superior diversification
Investment trusts are particular suited to this mode of investing. We examine their advantages over open-ended funds and highlight the trusts which do it well…
16 Jan 2019 There may be trouble ahead
We analyse why multi-asset macro funds have struggled and attempt to identify some possible closed-ended alternatives...
16 Jan 2019 Fund Analysis
This trust is well positioned to perform well if markets bounce, or the sell-off intensifies...
19 Sep 2018 Fund Analysis
A multi-asset fund which aims to protect and grow capital and has delivered annualised returns of 7.3% since launch, with very limted drawdown during tough periods...
16 Feb 2018 Fund Analysis
A diversified multi-asset trust with a clear focus on absolute returns which has seen it perform well in previous crises...
16 Feb 2018 Our survey says
Readers of Kepler Trust Intelligence seem little concerned by recent market volatility, but expert investors are less confident...
09 Feb 2018 The madding crowd
Recent volatility could be a taste of things to come, so we examine trusts that offer capital protection...
08 Mar 2017 End of the road...
With correlations between asset classes on the rise, we take a closer look at the role trusts in the IT Flexible Investment sector can play within a cautious investor's portfolio...
24 Nov 2016 Investment trusts vs OEICs: The definitive guide
We take a look at how investment trusts really stack up against their open-ended fund rivals...
28 Jul 2016 Funds for heavy weather
Investment trusts for a world without certainty...
29 Jun 2016 Beyond Brexit: Why China may be a bigger threat to economic stability...
Britain’s departure from the European Union is not the only threat to our prosperity, according to Troy founder Sebastian Lyon...
27 Jun 2016 Broken Britain
As the UK enters a period of uncertainty the like of which has not been seen since the Suez Crisis, we highlight four trusts which have little exposure to our unfolding catastrophe....
03 Jun 2016 Japan: Negative interest rates are just the beginning
Helicopter money could be among the measures policymakers use to revive Japan's struggling economy...
26 May 2016 Fund Analysis
We meet the management team who are preparing the portfolio for 1970s style inflation...
View all

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