BlackRock Greater Europe 22 July 2022
Disclaimer
This is a non-independent marketing communication commissioned by BlackRock. The report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on the dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.
BlackRock Greater Europe (BRGE) continues to demonstrate its commitment to high-quality, high-growth equities in the face of near-term stylistic headwinds. BRGE is run by the duo of Stefan Gries, who manages its developed Europe portfolio (97% of its current assets), and Sam Vecht, who manages its emerging Europe allocation. The two have remained largely sanguine over the course of 2022 despite falls in share prices, confident in the long-term potential of their holdings. In fact, they remark that many of their holdings continue to post strong earnings numbers which are not reflected in share prices.
Much of the team’s confidence in the face of the current volatility is due to the high-quality nature of their holdings, with many companies having already passed on the inflationary costs to their customers, as we describe in our Portfolio section. We note that while there has been little voluntary turnover, the small exposure to Russia has been written down to close to zero.
While BRGE’s five-year Performance ranks as top amongst its peers as well as being well ahead of its reference index, it has been negatively impacted by the outbreak of the Ukraine war and the pressures of rising interest rates. As a result, BRGE has underperformed its peers and reference index over the last 12 months. BRGE’s discount has also widened over the near term, a reflection of the wider sell-off of European equities. BRGE currently trades on an 8.0% discount, though this is still narrower than that of its peers.
We are encouraged by Stefan and Sam’s calmness in the current environment, as they clearly remain committed to the same quality-growth style which has served them so well historically. While such dedication might lead BRGE to underperform in certain environments, we believe that taking a long-term view is an overwhelmingly positive feature of any trust. We note that BRGE’s holdings are apparently already passing on inflationary costs with higher prices, so given that one reason for the sell-off this year is concerns over inflation, this may provide reassurance for investors. It is also evidence of the high-quality nature of BRGE’s holdings.
While arguably BRGE presents an opportunity to ‘buy the dip’ due to its falling NAV and widening discount, we believe that there is far more to the offering than simply a potential technical NAV and share price rebound. The vast majority of BRGE’s holdings have shown consistent upward earnings growth in the face of a multitude of external shocks, including the recent surge in inflation and the Ukraine crisis. This fundamental strength, which is in addition to a number of obvious sectoral growth trends underpinning BRGE’s holdings (such as the persistent drought of semiconductor production), may in fact currently be the more exciting opportunity. In the same vein as Stefan and Sam’s recent transactions, today’s market may offer investors a seldom found opportunity to gain exposure to some of Europe’s most promising businesses, which – given their historically strong fundamentals – have the potential to be strong long-term growth compounders. Accordingly, this is only enhanced by their currently depressed valuations.
Bull
- Recent NAV downturn and widening discount may offer a ‘buy the dip’ opportunity
- Underlying earnings growth remains strong
- Managers retain a disciplined, low-turnover approach, despite current headwinds
Bear
- Can underperform during periods of defensive or value stock momentum
- Gearing can enhance losses on the downside
- High-growth strategies may not be suitable for cautious investors