Fund Profile

Aberforth Split Level Income 14 December 2022

Disclaimer

Disclosure – Non-Independent Marketing Communication

This is a non-independent marketing communication commissioned by Aberforth Split Level Income. The report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on the dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

Overview
A new version of this profile is available. View Latest
Overview

Aberforth Split Level Income (ASIT) offers a high yield alongside the growth potential of small caps through a highly geared structure with a fixed life. The trust consists of both ordinary shares and zero-dividend preference shares (ZDPs), the latter of which can be thought of as debt fixed for the life of the trust costing 3.5% a year (although this is paid only to ZDP holders at wind-up) see Gearing).

There are just over 18 months remaining of the trust’s planned life at the time of writing. ZDP holders will receive a fixed entitlement at maturity, and in the meantime ordinary shareholders receive all dividends from a portfolio boosted by the gearing - worth 38.1% of the invested equity capital. This contributes to a very high yield. We estimate that if the board were to pay out all the income earned in the year so far (derived from the cum-income and ex income NAVs reported daily) and pay a final dividend equal to last year’s, this would amount to 5.03p, meaning a prospective yield of 7.1% at the time of writing (see Dividend).

The fixed life means that potential returns can be calculated under different scenarios, based on assumptions about the dividends and capital growth. We estimate that if the portfolio showed no gain or loss at the end of June 2024, the ordinary shareholder would have made c. 11.4% a year, considering the discount and assuming dividends do not grow (see Performance).

ASIT’s investment portfolio is run with a disciplined, consistent value strategy by a team of managers at specialist value house Aberforth Partners. This strategy has outperformed since the reflationary rally following the pandemic, but not since ASIT’s launch in 2017.

Analyst's View

ASIT’s high prospective yield could be highly attractive for income seekers, although the short time until wind-up may mean investors prefer to think in terms of total return potential. As wind-up draws nearer, and assets remain above the fixed entitlement of the ZDPs, we think the risk/reward ratio will improve. We consider a c. 11.4% total return as a reasonable scenario, on the assumption that markets end the next 18 months where they started and no dividend growth is achieved on the portfolio. However, returns could be much higher if markets rally in the remaining life of the trust.

Nothing can be assured, of course, and ASIT’s value-tilted portfolio has some cyclicality which will make it vulnerable to the looming recession. However, as we discuss in the Portfolio section, valuations on the portfolio are at fairly extreme levels, and seem to be pricing in a fall in earnings of c. 30%. The high number of acquisitions of portfolio companies in 2022 also gives credence to the view that ASIT’s portfolio and perhaps also the UK market are undervalued. There are therefore clear indications of value which imply the potential for high future returns. Against this must be weighed the short remaining life of the trust, as if a market recovery comes very late in the trust’s life it will not be fully enjoyed by shareholders, and also the high gearing, which means portfolio losses will be magnified in the NAV. That said, the board is mindful of this, and has stated that it will examine means for ordinary shareholders to continue their investment post-2024. This would allow ordinary shareholders to benefit from the significant upside in such a cheap portfolio even if it is realised after the planned life of the trust expires.

Bull

  • Strong performance potential in cyclical market rally, due to gearing and biases in portfolio
  • Offers diversification by sector and market cap to the typical biases of income investors
  • Fixed life and discount create downside protection

Bear

  • High levels of gearing could exacerbate losses in any further market fall
  • Cyclicality of portfolio increases sensitivity to recession
  • Market falls as the end of the trust’s life draws near could lead to return prospects turning negative
Continue to Portfolio

Fund History

07 May 2024 Thomas McMahon speaks on the Money Makers podcast
Thomas McMahon, Head of Investment Companies Research, appears on the Money Makers podcast to discuss three current themes in the investment trust sector: BCPT and commercial property, ASIT and split-level trusts, and the UK micro-cap sector...
29 Nov 2023 Fund Analysis
ASIT’s managers: Today’s investment opportunity is amongst the best in Aberforth’s 33 years…
09 Jun 2023 Fund Analysis
ASIT has the potential to deliver strong returns in its short remaining life…
06 Apr 2023 Fallen Kingdom?
Since the UK was described as a ‘Jurassic Park’ stock market, it has outperformed. Is this a new age for the stock market..?
18 Jan 2023 Fortune favours the brave
Our research suggests a recession has already been priced into small cap trusts, but risks abound...
14 Dec 2022 Fund Analysis
ASIT offers potentially exciting returns as its planned 1 July 2024 wind-up date approaches…
16 Jun 2022 Fund Analysis
ASIT offers potentially exciting returns as its July 2024 wind-up approaches…
17 Nov 2021 Fund Analysis
ASIT is well-positioned to perform exceptionally well in an economic recovery…
01 Jun 2021 Fund Analysis
ASIT’s portfolio remains highly geared to an UK economic recovery...
26 Nov 2020 Fund Analysis
ASIT’s high gearing and cyclical portfolio mean it could offer exceptional performance potential as the end of the pandemic becomes clearer…
25 Nov 2020 Britannia Redux?
UK equities have been despised for almost five years and could offer extreme rebound potential…
29 Jul 2020 To be, or not to be (geared), that is the question
Gearing is part of the toolkit that trusts use to outperform OEICs. But how is it best implemented?...
27 May 2020 Fund Analysis
ASIT’s gearing allows it to offer a very high yield and strong rebound potential…
12 Dec 2019 Fund Analysis
ASIT is a small-cap value trust, with a yield of 5%...
01 Aug 2019 Rethinking UK equity income
Despite being a popular allocation for investors, the UK Equity Income sector is currently plagued by the problem of concentration. Our analysis suggests smaller companies could be a strong alternative source of diversified income…
30 Apr 2019 Fund Analysis
ASLIT is a high yielding smaller companies fund with a disciplined value approach, offering a historic yield of 4.9%...
23 May 2018 Fund Analysis
A differentiated UK small cap income trust, heavily exposed to the domestic UK economy...
23 May 2018 Backing Blighty
We consider the outlook for UK equities as they endure their Brexit induced 'darkest hour'...
View all

Welcome to Kepler Trust Intelligence

Please enter a valid email address
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a valid password
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a valid email address
{{item.msg}}
Please check your email. If an account exists you'll be sent instructions on how to reset your password.
To ensure that we are able to provide content which is appropriate for you, please tell us a little about yourself.
Please choose an option
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a company name
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a location name
{{item.msg}}
Please choose an option
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a platform
{{item.msg}}
Please choose an option
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a trust
{{item.msg}}
?
The information contained herein is not for distribution and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy any securities in the United States to or for the benefit of any United States person (being residents of the United States or partnerships or corporations organised under the laws thereof). The investment funds referred to herein have not been registered in the United States under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and units or shares of such funds are not registered in the United States under the Securities Act of 1933.
Please confirm
{{item.msg}}
Please select an option
{{item.msg}}
See benefits
A free Kepler Trust Intelligence account allows you to access premium content including the ‘Kepler View’ – our verdict on the trusts we cover – and historical research so you can see how our view has changed over time. An account also unlocks useful facilities like the ‘follow’ button which lets you keep track of the trusts you’re interested in and as a logged in user you can also download PDFs of our research, and choose the layout of the page you’re reading to suit your preference. We will not share your details unless you give us permission to do so, and we won’t bombard you with emails – we only send one a week.
Please select an option
{{item.msg}}
Please enter your first name
{{item.msg}}
Please enter your last name
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a valid email address
An account already exists with this email - have you forgotten your password?
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a valid password
{{item.msg}}
Please enter a valid password
{{item.msg}}
How will this information be used? Your answers help us to tailor our content to relevant investment trusts, and to ensure that the asset allocation and portfolio strategy research we produce is appropriate to our userbase.
Our Website uses Cookies Cookies are small text files held on your computer. They allow us to give you the best browsing experience possible and mean we can understand how you use our site. Some cookies have already been set. You can delete and block cookies, but parts of our site won’t work without them. By using our website you accept our use of cookies. For further information please refer to the Kepler Privacy Notice.
Need help?

One more thing...

Did you know, you can 'follow' individual trusts on Kepler Trust Intelligence? Use the functions below to set up alerts and we'll send you research and updates on your chosen trusts.

Suggested trusts to follow

Browse all funds
Need help?
Current Site Kepler Trust Intelligence is produced by the investment companies team at Kepler Partners and is the UK’s premier source of detailed qualitative research on investment trusts. Absolute Hedge is a market leading UCITS research database providing proprietary research on funds, themes and strategies in the UCITS space. Kepler Liquid Strategies is a Dublin domiciled UCITS fund platform featuring a number of best-of-breed fund managers. Kepler Partners is a corporate advisory and asset raising boutique specialising in the regulated funds market in Europe and investment trusts in the UK.