This is not substantive investment research or a research recommendation, as it does not constitute substantive research or analysis. This material should be considered as general market commentary.
Europe, despite its intention to put past crises to rest, may end up being a major economic flashpoint in 2021. With sudden developments in Italian politics, battles over vaccinations and bonds that guarantee a loss, investors may be forgiven for expecting the once benign region to be the next big source of volatility. Yet there is an equal argument for a European renaissance with pan-European stimulus, attractively valued equities and increasing demand for sustainable investing; the argument is not quite as simple as it seems. In this note we aim to highlight key data-points and issues which are likely to determine near- and far-term returns from European equities. We hope to highlight the fact that European stock markets are full of opportunities, even if the macro outlook may seem cloudy.
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