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Fund Profile

Disclaimer

Disclosure – Non-Independent Marketing Communication

This is a non-independent marketing communication commissioned by Ruffer Investment Company. The report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on the dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

Overview
RICA is available on a small discount for the first time in years…
Overview

Ruffer Investment Company (LON:RICA) is managed with a highly flexible investment strategy, all asset classes being fair game when it comes to creating a robust portfolio which should be able to generate positive returns in all market environments. Achieving this is most difficult when equities and bonds are losing money, and this is where RICA really stands out, with the adept use of various derivative strategies and non-conventional assets helping it to historically perform very well in falling markets and rarely lose money (see Performance).

The core thesis of the management team is that inflation will remain higher on average and be more volatile than markets currently expect and that this is the main threat to asset values and investors’ capital in the coming years. In recent years, RICA has made good money from being positioned for a more volatile investment environment. While a period of high and volatile inflation remains a key scenario considered when allocating assets, the portfolio contains positions designed to perform in multiple other scenarios too, particularly in the shorter term (see Portfolio).

The portfolio is managed by Duncan MacInnes and Jasmine Yeo. Duncan has been on the management team since 2016, and he was joined by Jasmine late last year. They work within a large team of investment professionals under co-CIOs Henry Maxey and Neil McLeish, another to join Ruffer last year, as well as Jonathan Ruffer, chairman and founder of the company.

The success of the trust over the years has seen RICA trade on a premium for long periods. However, in 2023, as the market has become less concerned about inflation, a small Discount has opened up in the shares.

Kepler View

RICA has an outstanding track record of generating attractive returns while avoiding market blow-ups. In our view, it is an attractive way to invest for the long run, either as a core portfolio holding or potentially a hedge against sell-offs in equities and bonds. There has been some turnover in the management team over the years, but the strategy has been consistently applied and the strong house view and teamwork behind the scenes gives us confidence the same approach will be consistently followed for years to come.

In the short term, we think RICA looks attractive on a small discount, which has been rare in recent years. In fact, the board has had to issue huge amounts of shares in recent years to keep up with demand. We view this discount as reflecting market assumptions that interest rates and inflation are at or near their peaks in the US and UK, and the subsequent drop in demand for assets which can protect against inflation. We think this is a dangerous assumption, and should there be any resurgence of inflation, or a growing realisation that it is a persistent feature of our economies, alongside higher interest rates, then we could see the discount close.

Bull

  • Strong track record of making good returns while limiting drawdowns, especially in crises
  • Well-positioned for an inflationary environment, in contrast to many other equity strategies
  • Current discount may offer a rare opportunity

Bear

  • Long-term and contrarian approach can lead to periods of sluggish performance
  • Could suffer if central economic theses are proven wrong – i.e. inflation falls, remains low and stable and/or real rates stay positive
  • Shareholders often have to pay a premium for new shares
Continue to Portfolio

Fund History

01 Feb 2024 Bring some yin-yang into your portfolio in 2024
Inherent contradictions within portfolios can give them stability in a polarised world...
01 Nov 2023 Back to basics
Higher rates mean re-visiting portfolio construction...
14 Sep 2023 Risk on, risk off
Capital preservation trusts are maintaining historically low equity levels, despite the rally seen so far in 2023…
19 Jul 2023 Simply the Best
Investing in high quality companies was a successful strategy for many years, but has its time passed?
13 Jun 2023 Fund Analysis
RICA is available on a small discount for the first time in years…
15 Dec 2022 Beyond the Rubicon
Our first live event since March 2020 saw three fund managers describing their different perspectives on a vastly-changed investment landscape…
07 Dec 2022 Live sessions today - Live from London
Forgot to register for our Live from London event? Here are the details of today’s line-up of investment companies. Join us with an easy-access link to the presentations...
19 Oct 2022 Gimme shelter
Our analysts examine safe havens and defensive strategies as we endure the market's 19th Nervous Breakdown...
12 Oct 2022 The Buck stops where?
The US dollar has surged in 2022, but many are questioning whether this can be sustained...
15 Sep 2022 Fund Analysis
RICA is positioned to protect against inflation or a new leg down in equity markets…
13 Jul 2022 Ready player one
We wonder where, if anywhere, should investors look for returns after a tumultuous first half of the year…
06 Jul 2022 A game of two halves
In the second article of our series on the AIC Flexible Investment sector we see how performance has stacked up during two years when markets were poles apart...
22 Jun 2022 Spider's web
We outline our new quantitative system for mapping the crucial performance characteristics of investment trusts…
11 May 2022 Catch a tiger by the tail
As inflation bites harder than it has for decades, we consider the best ways for investors to hang on to their capital...
26 Jan 2022 Fight or flight...
Two of our analysts debate the impact that war in Ukraine could have on investors' portfolios...
30 Dec 2021 Great expectations
As the last of the mince pies wilts in the fridge, topped with a generous helping of stilton, the Kepler Trust Intelligence team stick a finger in the air and point toward their top picks for the year ahead…
22 Dec 2021 No humbug
Our analysts look back at a year of predictions, theories and ideas, and highlight those they think could matter most…
20 Dec 2021 Fund Analysis
RICA’s strong performance during the pandemic and in the market recovery has highlighted its credentials as an all-weather strategy…
01 Sep 2021 Winter is coming
Summer was a welcome opportunity for exhausted investors to turn their backs on the legion threats they face, but they haven't gone away and the days grow short - we examine four in detail...
25 Aug 2021 Is the UK’s debt a ticking time bomb?
Our analyst argues Rishi is right to worry about government debt and borrowing…
21 Jul 2021 Every which way but loose
We break down the AIC Flexible sector into more useful segments…
30 Jun 2021 Inflation – a real threat or hot air?
Two of our analysts ask whether recent high inflation numbers indicate something long-lasting and troubling is happening…
13 May 2021 Fund Analysis
RICA is an all-weather proposition, aiming to deliver over a range of market and economic outcomes…
05 May 2021 Vive la revolution
For thirty years quality has had a structural tailwind; but revolt is in the air and value is on the barricades…
10 Mar 2021 Spring Conference '21
Audio and presentations from 21 of the UK’s leading investment trust managers…
04 Mar 2021 Slides and Audio: Ruffer Investment Company
Download the presentation and listen to the audio from our 'Ideas for your ISA' Spring Conference on 04 March...
06 Jan 2021 This time next year Rodney...
We review the performance of the team’s ‘top picks’ for 2020 – including some proper plonkers – and place our bets for the year ahead…
02 Dec 2020 Fund Analysis
RICA is an all-weather proposition, aiming to deliver over range of market and economic outcomes...
15 Jul 2020 Why stagflation is likely and how to protect your portfolio from it
Our analysis suggests a combination of cost-push inflation and economic hardship could lead to a short, but unpleasant, period of stagflation...
01 Jul 2020 Oh the humanity...
We consider two strategies to cope with markets which, boosted by massive government support, may be witnessing the start of a ‘melt-up’ which may be followed swiftly by a melt-down...
05 Jun 2020 Deep impact
Audio and presentations from our conference this week, where fifteen of the world's best fund managers described a profoundly altered investment landscape...
29 Apr 2020 On solid ground
Our analysis of discounts highlights trusts which are likely to offer significantly less discount downside from the current level…
16 Apr 2020 Fund Analysis
RICA uses a range of asset classes to generate absolute returns for investors with an approach emphasising loss-aversion...
08 Apr 2020 Children of the Revolution
The outperformance of technology hints at an exciting possible future for the market when the virus is beaten…
30 Jan 2020 Is it time to run away?
With a sense of complacency in the air, our analysts debate the best ways to shore up your portfolio's defenses...
30 Oct 2019 All that glitters? The case for and against gold
Two of our analysts go head-to-head, debating whether gold is the ultimate safe haven asset...
16 Oct 2019 Life on Mars: could inflation take us back to the '70s?
We discuss two potential catalysts for inflation - and the assets that could offer a hedge against it...
16 Oct 2019 Fund Analysis
RICA uses a range of asset classes to generate absolute returns for investors with an approach emphasising loss-aversion...
25 Sep 2019 Master of all trades: the best multi-asset trusts on the market
Investment trusts are particularly suited to multi-asset strategies. Our research identifies the leaders in this increasingly popular field...
16 Jan 2019 There may be trouble ahead
We analyse why multi-asset macro funds have struggled and attempt to identify some possible closed-ended alternatives...
16 Jan 2019 Fund Analysis
This trust is well positioned to perform well if markets bounce, or the sell-off intensifies...
19 Sep 2018 Fund Analysis
A multi-asset fund which aims to protect and grow capital and has delivered annualised returns of 7.3% since launch, with very limted drawdown during tough periods...
28 Feb 2018 Gimme shelter
As the bear market for bonds and corresponding volatility in equities escalates we examine trusts that offer excellent capital protection..
27 Feb 2018 Fund Analysis
A diversified multi-asset trust with a clear focus on absolute returns which has seen it perform well in previous crises...
12 Jul 2016 Fund Analysis
12 Jul 2016 Riders on the storm
Multi-asset investment trusts for an environment where a global, active, currency-aware approach is essential...
12 Jul 2016 Anarchy in the UK
We collate the reactions of the City's leading investment companies analysts in the wake of the EU referendum...
View all

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