JPMorgan Japanese

JFJ has outperformed post COVID-19 through its portfolio of Japanese growth stocks but remains at a discount….

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Disclosure – Non-Independent Marketing Communication

This is a non-independent marketing communication commissioned by JPMorgan Japanese. The report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on the dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

JPMorgan Japanese

JPMorgan Japanese Investment Trust (JFJ) seeks to maximise total returns through a portfolio of quality, high-growth Japanese companies. Led by Nicholas Weindling, working with the support of an experienced team of local analysts, the team invest across the entire market-cap space. This includes a small- to mid-cap allocation, using a bottom-up process to identify companies which they consider the best ‘premium’ or ‘quality’ opportunities.

As we note under portfolio, much of Nicholas and his team’s stock selection is driven by their understanding of the thematic issues driving the Japanese economy, many of which have accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic. Their holdings are well positioned to benefit from changes in demographics, automation, corporate governance and the growth in online and internet services; these are discussed in depth in the Portfolio section.

The trust’s long-term performance continues to remain strong versus the benchmark, with JFJ further outperforming during the current pandemic. As we discuss in the Performance section, this was in part due to the team’s identification of structural growth opportunities, with many of the holdings beneficiaries of the COVID-19 economy. JFJ is also ranked amongst the best strategies in its sector for ESG, as we discuss under the ESG section.

JFJ is c. 16% net geared, reflecting the managers’ current positive sentiment. The fund trades at a c. 7.2% discount, which is in line with the peer group average, despite its recent outperformance and having the lowest OCF in the AIC sector. As we discuss under the Discount section, the board has undertaken selective buybacks in the most recent financial year to seek to address this.

Kepler View

We believe the JFJ team have demonstrated a clear and deep understanding of the broader Japanese economy and the trends underpinning equity markets. Investing in a wide range of companies gives them the opportunity to generate alpha through stock selection, and is reflected by their high active share.

Since the emergence of COVID-19, and thanks to the outperformance of quality and growth factors during this period, they have been further vindicated in their identification of the sectoral themes that have contributed to their stock selection. The concern now is that a potential resolution to the COVID-19 crisis may result in a shift towards value and cyclical stocks and lead to underperformance. However, the JFJ team are confident in the continuation of the secular growth story, believing that COVID-19 has rapidly advanced many existing trends and improved the outlook of the companies they hold.

JFJ is relatively highly geared, reflecting the depth of opportunities the managers are observing. That said, if there is a shift towards value, this gearing will exacerbate any portfolio underperformance. We maintain the view that given JFJ’s long-term superior performance, low cost and exceptional ESG credentials, the current discount relative to peers is unwarranted. In some ways our conviction is enhanced given its performance during the current pandemic.

bull bear
Strong performance post the COVID-19 crash Possible cyclical recovery after COVID-19 could lead to underperformance
Large and experienced team, all on the ground in Japan A failure of one sectoral factor to materialise will impact multiple holdings
Lowest OCF in sector Gearing can accelerate losses in falling markets
David Johnson
David is an investment trust analyst and joined Kepler in September 2020. Prior to this he ran multi-asset model portfolios at a discretionary fund manager, and has worked in both asset management and investment banking during his career. He holds a Masters in Finance from the University of Warwick and is a CFA charterholder.

Fund History

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